
Studies of Psychology and Behavior ›› 2025, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (1): 115-122.DOI: 10.12139/j.1672-0628.2025.01.015
• ? • Previous Articles Next Articles
Peng WU*,1,2(
), Yuliang WANG1, Xingyu JIANG1
Received:2024-11-09
Online:2025-01-20
Published:2025-01-20
Contact:
Peng WU
通讯作者:
吴鹏
基金资助:Peng WU, Yuliang WANG, Xingyu JIANG. The Developmental Trajectories of Future Occupation Planning Among Chinese High School Students: A Latent Growth Model[J]. Studies of Psychology and Behavior, 2025, 23(1): 115-122.
吴鹏, 王宇亮, 蒋星雨. 高中生未来职业规划的发展趋势:基于潜变量增长模型的分析[J]. 心理与行为研究, 2025, 23(1): 115-122.
Add to citation manager EndNote|Ris|BibTeX
URL: https://psybeh.tjnu.edu.cn/EN/10.12139/j.1672-0628.2025.01.015
| 变量 | M±SD | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 1.T1未来职业探索 | 3.10±0.53 | |||||||||||
| 2.T2未来职业探索 | 3.08±0.52 | 0.06* | ||||||||||
| 3.T3未来职业探索 | 3.02±0.71 | 0.07** | 0.29*** | |||||||||
| 4.T4未来职业探索 | 3.11±0.70 | 0.27*** | 0.19*** | 0.34*** | ||||||||
| 5.T5未来职业探索 | 3.18±0.62 | 0.08* | 0.19*** | 0.26*** | 0.30*** | |||||||
| 6.T1未来职业投入 | 3.24±0.69 | 0.04 | 0.15*** | 0.03 | −0.01 | 0.03 | ||||||
| 7.T2未来职业投入 | 3.15±0.87 | 0.03 | 0.08** | 0.14*** | 0.05* | 0.06 | 0.37*** | |||||
| 8.T3未来职业投入 | 3.43±0.66 | 0.12*** | 0.06** | 0.15*** | 0.23*** | 0.14*** | 0.07* | −0.01 | ||||
| 9.T4未来职业投入 | 3.45±0.49 | 0.10*** | 0.11*** | 0.14*** | 0.14*** | 0.34*** | 0.01 | −0.02 | 0.24** | |||
| 10.T5未来职业投入 | 3.37±0.60 | 0.02 | 0.10*** | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.08** | 0.41*** | 0.01 | −0.04 | 0.01 | ||
| 11.个人公正世界信念 | 3.67±0.75 | 0.06* | 0.02 | 0.12*** | 0.22*** | 0.22*** | 0.02 | 0.06* | 0.23*** | 0.13*** | 0.02 | |
| 12.一般公正世界信念 | 3.89±0.79 | 0.03 | 0.06* | 0.17*** | 0.14*** | 0.08** | −0.01 | 0.07** | 0.08** | 0.10*** | −0.01 | 0.30*** |
| 变量 | M±SD | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 1.T1未来职业探索 | 3.10±0.53 | |||||||||||
| 2.T2未来职业探索 | 3.08±0.52 | 0.06* | ||||||||||
| 3.T3未来职业探索 | 3.02±0.71 | 0.07** | 0.29*** | |||||||||
| 4.T4未来职业探索 | 3.11±0.70 | 0.27*** | 0.19*** | 0.34*** | ||||||||
| 5.T5未来职业探索 | 3.18±0.62 | 0.08* | 0.19*** | 0.26*** | 0.30*** | |||||||
| 6.T1未来职业投入 | 3.24±0.69 | 0.04 | 0.15*** | 0.03 | −0.01 | 0.03 | ||||||
| 7.T2未来职业投入 | 3.15±0.87 | 0.03 | 0.08** | 0.14*** | 0.05* | 0.06 | 0.37*** | |||||
| 8.T3未来职业投入 | 3.43±0.66 | 0.12*** | 0.06** | 0.15*** | 0.23*** | 0.14*** | 0.07* | −0.01 | ||||
| 9.T4未来职业投入 | 3.45±0.49 | 0.10*** | 0.11*** | 0.14*** | 0.14*** | 0.34*** | 0.01 | −0.02 | 0.24** | |||
| 10.T5未来职业投入 | 3.37±0.60 | 0.02 | 0.10*** | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.08** | 0.41*** | 0.01 | −0.04 | 0.01 | ||
| 11.个人公正世界信念 | 3.67±0.75 | 0.06* | 0.02 | 0.12*** | 0.22*** | 0.22*** | 0.02 | 0.06* | 0.23*** | 0.13*** | 0.02 | |
| 12.一般公正世界信念 | 3.89±0.79 | 0.03 | 0.06* | 0.17*** | 0.14*** | 0.08** | −0.01 | 0.07** | 0.08** | 0.10*** | −0.01 | 0.30*** |
| 估计值 | SE | p | |
| 截距(I) | 3.11 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
| 斜率1(S1) | −0.04 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
| 斜率2(S2) | 0.07 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
| 估计值 | SE | p | |
| 截距(I) | 3.11 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
| 斜率1(S1) | −0.04 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
| 斜率2(S2) | 0.07 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
| 类别 | AIC | BIC | aBIC | Entropy | LMRT | BLRT | 各亚组人数占比(%) |
| 1 | 16512.89 | 16567.13 | 16535.36 | ||||
| 2 | 16186.52 | 16257.04 | 16215.74 | 0.90 | 318.08*** | 332.36*** | 79.59/20.41 |
| 3 | 16160.71 | 16247.50 | 16196.67 | 0.90 | 30.44 | 31.81* | 15.99/80.97/3.04 |
| 4 | 16148.97 | 16252.03 | 16191.67 | 0.91 | 16.98 | 17.75 | 19.27/0.48/0.95/79.30 |
| 类别 | AIC | BIC | aBIC | Entropy | LMRT | BLRT | 各亚组人数占比(%) |
| 1 | 16512.89 | 16567.13 | 16535.36 | ||||
| 2 | 16186.52 | 16257.04 | 16215.74 | 0.90 | 318.08*** | 332.36*** | 79.59/20.41 |
| 3 | 16160.71 | 16247.50 | 16196.67 | 0.90 | 30.44 | 31.81* | 15.99/80.97/3.04 |
| 4 | 16148.97 | 16252.03 | 16191.67 | 0.91 | 16.98 | 17.75 | 19.27/0.48/0.95/79.30 |
| 预测因素 | 截距(I) | 斜率1(S1) | 斜率2(S2) | |||||
| b | p | b | p | b | p | |||
| 性别 | −0.004 | 0.57 | −0.001 | 0.84 | 0.003 | 0.51 | ||
| 主观社会阶层 | 0.009 | 0.15 | 0.001 | 0.84 | −0.004 | 0.39 | ||
| 个人公正世界信念 | 0.010 | 0.61 | 0.022 | 0.26 | 0.023 | 0.06 | ||
| 一般公正世界信念 | −0.001 | 0.97 | 0.061 | 0.001 | −0.026 | 0.02 | ||
| 预测因素 | 截距(I) | 斜率1(S1) | 斜率2(S2) | |||||
| b | p | b | p | b | p | |||
| 性别 | −0.004 | 0.57 | −0.001 | 0.84 | 0.003 | 0.51 | ||
| 主观社会阶层 | 0.009 | 0.15 | 0.001 | 0.84 | −0.004 | 0.39 | ||
| 个人公正世界信念 | 0.010 | 0.61 | 0.022 | 0.26 | 0.023 | 0.06 | ||
| 一般公正世界信念 | −0.001 | 0.97 | 0.061 | 0.001 | −0.026 | 0.02 | ||
| B | Exp(B) | p | 95%CI | |
| 性别 | −0.04 | 0.96 | 0.72 | [0.75, 1.22] |
| 主观社会阶层 | 0.06 | 1.07 | 0.03 | [1.01, 1.13] |
| 个人公正世界信念 | 0.20 | 1.23 | 0.02 | [1.03, 1.45] |
| 一般公正世界信念 | −0.15 | 0.86 | 0.06 | [0.73, 1.01] |
| B | Exp(B) | p | 95%CI | |
| 性别 | −0.04 | 0.96 | 0.72 | [0.75, 1.22] |
| 主观社会阶层 | 0.06 | 1.07 | 0.03 | [1.01, 1.13] |
| 个人公正世界信念 | 0.20 | 1.23 | 0.02 | [1.03, 1.45] |
| 一般公正世界信念 | −0.15 | 0.86 | 0.06 | [0.73, 1.01] |
|
陈曦, 陈光辉, 赵景欣. 家庭社会经济地位与青少年未来规划的关系: 外向性的调节作用及其性别差异. 心理发展与教育, 2015, 31 (4): 420- 427.
|
|
|
崔海丽, 朱红, 马莉萍. 高中生涯教育对学生未来规划清晰程度的影响——以强基新生为考察对象. 教育发展研究, 2022, 42 (10): 67- 76.
DOI |
|
|
黄晓玲, 杨德军. 高考改革试点中家长对选科的认识及意向的调查分析. 复旦教育论坛, 2022, 20 (5): 21- 27.
DOI |
|
|
刘海峰, 韦骅峰. 新高考改革背景下高中生对高考选科认识及意向的调查分析. 教育发展研究, 2023, 43 (12): 1- 9, 17.
DOI |
|
|
刘红云. 如何描述发展趋势的差异: 潜变量混合增长模型. 心理科学进展, 2007, 15 (3): 539- 544.
DOI |
|
|
刘源, 赵骞, 刘红云. 多阶段增长模型的方法比较. 心理学探新, 2013, 33 (5): 415- 422, 450.
DOI |
|
|
苏志强, 张大均, 王鑫强. 公正世界信念量表的修订及在大学生应用的信效度研究. 中华行为医学与脑科学杂志, 2012, 21 (6): 561- 563.
DOI |
|
|
田媛, 宋友志, 周宗奎, 黄淳, 赵一倩. 青少年公正世界信念的发展轨迹及其影响因素: 一项多水平分析. 心理发展与教育, 2019, 35 (2): 146- 156.
|
|
|
王新凤. 我国高考综合改革的实施效果跟踪研究——以北京为例. 现代教育管理, 2021, (8): 26- 33.
|
|
|
许丹佳, 喻承甫, 窦凯, 梁梓勤, 利振华, 聂衍刚. 父母自主支持与青少年未来规划: 基本心理需要与个人成长主动性的中介作用. 心理发展与教育, 2019, 35 (1): 23- 31.
|
|
|
于凤杰, 赵景欣, 张文新. 早中期青少年未来规划的发展及其与父母教养行为的关系: 行为自主的中介效应. 心理学报, 2013, 45 (6): 658- 671.
|
|
|
张会杰. 考试招生“唯分数”的两难困境: 观念及制度的根源. 中国考试, 2019, (1): 10- 14,39.
|
|
|
张玲玲, 张文新, 纪林芹, Nurmi, J E. 青少年未来取向问卷中文版的测量学分析. 心理发展与教育, 2006, 22 (1): 103- 108.
DOI |
|
|
张玲玲, 张文新, 周秀琴, 胡艺馨, 王姝琼. 普高生与中职生的个人未来目标和担忧. 心理发展与教育, 2008, 24 (4): 50- 55, 60.
|
|
|
张陆, 黄雪芳, 游志麒, 叶娜. 儿童期虐待对大学生公正世界信念的影响: 有调节的中介模型. 心理发展与教育, 2022, 38 (6): 804- 812.
|
|
|
周爱保, 胡砚冰, 刘锦涛, 鲁小勇, 王有丽, 周滢鑫. 青少年社交焦虑与学习投入的关系: 意向性自我调节的解释作用及其年龄差异. 心理发展与教育, 2022, 38 (1): 54- 63.
|
|
|
周春燕, 郭永玉. 公正世界信念——重建公正的双刃剑. 心理科学进展, 2013, 21 (1): 144- 154.
|
|
|
周丹, 高一然, 边玉芳. 高中生未来取向的特征及其与友谊质量和自尊的关系. 中国心理卫生杂志, 2016, 30 (10): 738- 744.
DOI |
|
|
周浩, 龙立荣. 共同方法偏差的统计检验与控制方法. 心理科学进展, 2004, 12 (6): 942- 950.
DOI |
|
|
Adler, N. E., Epel, E. S., Castellazzo, G., & Ickovics, J. R. Relationship of subjective and objective social status with psychological and physiological functioning: Preliminary data in healthy, white women. Health Psychology, 2000, 19 (6): 586- 592.
DOI |
|
|
Bartholomaeus, J., & Strelan, P. The adaptive, approach-oriented correlates of belief in a just world for the self: A review of the research. Personality and Individual Differences, 2019, 151, 109485.
DOI |
|
|
Bartholomaeus, J., Ucar, G. K., Donat, M., Nartova-Bochaver, S., & Thomas, K. Cross-cultural generalisability of the belief in a just world: Factor analytic and psychometric evidence from six countries. Journal of Research in Personality, 2023, 102, 104317.
DOI |
|
|
Bègue, L., & Bastounis, M. Two spheres of belief in justice: Extensive support for the bidimensional model of belief in a just world. Journal of Personality, 2003, 71 (3): 435- 463.
DOI |
|
|
Callan, M. J., Shead, N. W., & Olson, J. M. Foregoing the labor for the fruits: The effect of just world threat on the desire for immediate monetary rewards. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 2009, 45 (1): 246- 249.
DOI |
|
|
Dalbert, C. The world is more just for me than generally: About the personal belief in a just world scale’s validity. Social Justice Research, 1999, 12 (2): 79- 98.
DOI |
|
|
Hafer, C. L. Investment in long-term goals and commitment to just means drive the need to believe in a just world. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 2000, 26 (9): 1059- 1073.
DOI |
|
|
Hafer, C. L., Bègue, L., Choma, B. L., & Dempsey, J. L. Belief in a just world and commitment to long-term deserved outcomes. Social Justice Research, 2005, 18 (4): 429- 444.
DOI |
|
|
Kalakoski, V., & Nurmi, J. E. Identity and educational transitions: Age differences in adolescent exploration and commitment related to education, occupation, and family. Journal of Research on Adolescence, 1998, 8 (1): 29- 47.
DOI |
|
|
Kaliuzhna, M. Symmetries and asymmetries in the belief in a just world. Personality and Individual Differences, 2020, 161, 109940.
DOI |
|
|
Lee, I. H., & Rojewski, J. W. Development of occupational aspiration prestige: A piecewise latent growth model of selected influences. Journal of Vocational Behavior, 2009, 75 (1): 82- 90.
DOI |
|
|
Lerner, M. J. The justice motive: “Equity” and “parity” among children. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1974, 29 (4): 539- 550.
DOI |
|
|
Lerner, R. M. (2002). Concepts and theories of human development (3rd ed.). Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
|
|
|
Lipkus, I. M., Dalbert, C., & Siegler, I. C. The importance of distinguishing the belief in a just world for self versus for others: Implications for psychological well-being. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 1996, 22 (7): 666- 677.
DOI |
|
|
Massey, E. K., Gebhardt, W. A., & Garnefski, N. Adolescent goal content and pursuit: A review of the literature from the past 16 years. Developmental Review, 2008, 28 (4): 421- 460.
DOI |
|
|
Mau, W. C., & Bikos, L. H. Educational and vocational aspirations of minority and female students: A longitudinal study. Journal of Counseling & Development, 2000, 78 (2): 186- 194.
|
|
|
Mello, Z. R. Racial/ethnic group and socioeconomic status variation in educational and occupational expectations from adolescence to adulthood. Journal of Applied Developmental Psychology, 2009, 30 (4): 494- 504.
DOI |
|
|
Mudrack, P. E. An outcomes-based approach to just world beliefs. Personality and Individual Differences, 2005, 38 (4): 817- 830.
DOI |
|
|
Nudelman, G., Otto, K., & Dalbert, C. Can belief in a just world buffer mood and career prospects of people in need of risk protection? First experimental evidence. Risk Analysis, 2016, 36 (12): 2247- 2257.
DOI |
|
|
Nurmi, J. E. How do adolescents see their future? A review of the development of future orientation and planning. Developmental Review, 1991, 11 (1): 1- 59.
DOI |
|
|
Nurmi, J. E., Poole, M. E., & Kalakoski, V. Age differences in adolescent identity exploration and commitment in urban and rural environments. Journal of Adolescence, 1996, 19 (5): 443- 452.
DOI |
|
|
Nylund, K. L., Asparouhov, T., & Muthén, B. O. Deciding on the number of classes in latent class analysis and growth mixture modeling: A Monte Carlo simulation study. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2007, 14 (4): 535- 569.
DOI |
|
|
Oppenheimer, L. The belief in a just world and subjective perceptions of society: A developmental perspective. Journal of Adolescence, 2006, 29 (4): 655- 669.
DOI |
|
|
Sutton, R. M., & Douglas, K. M. Justice for all, or just for me? More evidence of the importance of the self-other distinction in just-world beliefs. Personality and Individual Differences, 2005, 39 (3): 637- 645.
DOI |
|
|
Sutton, R. M., & Winnard, E. J. Looking ahead through lenses of justice: The relevance of just-world beliefs to intentions and confidence in the future. British Journal of Social Psychology, 2007, 46 (3): 649- 666.
DOI |
|
|
Ucar, G. K., & Dalbert, C. The longitudinal associations between personal belief in a just world and teacher justice among advantaged and disadvantaged school students. International Journal of Psychology, 2020, 55 (2): 192- 200.
DOI |
|
|
Zhao, J. X., Li, R. J., Ma, J. L., & Zhang, W. X. Longitudinal relations between future planning and adolescents’ academic achievement in China. Journal of Adolescence, 2019, 75, 73- 84.
DOI |
| Viewed | ||||||
|
Full text |
|
|||||
|
Abstract |
|
|||||